Demographics
The Gardner Institute provides demographic decision support to the Utah State Legislature and Office of the Governor. We produce population estimates and projections, as well as applied demographic research focused on Utah. We represent the state in work with the Census Bureau, including the State Data Center Program and Federal State Cooperatives for Population Estimates and Projections. We work with the Census Bureau in production, distribution, and analysis of their product.
We are your demographic resource.
User Guide: Long-Term Planning Projection Scenarios
The Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute prepares long-term demographic and economic planning projections to assist with state decision-making. The Institute released a set of baseline (or most likely) projections in January 2022. These baseline projections provide the data foundation for Utah’s long-term transportation, water, education, and other planning activities.
Utah’s Multiracial Population, 2020
Utah’s multiracial (two or more races) resident population added the most residents and was the fastest-growing racial or ethnic group regardless of Hispanic or Latino origin between 2010 and 2020. This report uses the 2020 census redistricting data to provide insights into Utah’s multiracial population, including ethnicity, youth and adult populations, and where people live.
Insight: Utah’s Declining Fertility is Both the Exception and the Rule
By: Emily Harris, Senior Demographer Jul 27, 2022 – Utah is known for many things: soda shops that put creamer and coconut in their sodas, world-class skiing, a strong and stable economy, and high fertility rates. But over the last few years, Utah has dropped its title of the highest fertility rate in the nation, going from highest in 2015 to 4th highest in 2020. This trend has sparked conversations in Utah among residents, lawmakers, economists, and community leaders about why fertility is declining rapidly and whether it is a problem. This latest report doesn’t attempt to answer any of[...]
A Decade of Declining Fertility in Utah, the Intermountain West, and the Nation: 2010-2020
Utah’s declining fertility rate made state headlines in 2016 when it no longer ranked highest in the country. Since then, Utah’s total fertility rate of 1.92 births per woman has declined nationally from highest to fourth highest, with rates in South Dakota (1.98), Nebraska (1.94), and North Dakota (1.93) exceeding Utah’s.
Insight: Age, Sex, Race, and Ethnicity estimates release from the Census Bureau
By Mallory Bateman Jul 12, 2022 – At the end of June, the Census Bureau released the last piece of their population estimate suite for the 2021 vintage. The age, sex, race, and ethnicity estimates are available at the national, state, and county levels. […]
Fact Sheet: U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for Age, Vintage 2021
Each year, the Census Bureau produces population estimates at varying levels of geography. The age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin estimates at the nation, state, and county level is the final release of the 2021 vintage estimate package.
Fact Sheet: U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for Race and Hispanic Origin, Vintage 2021
Each year, the Census Bureau produces population estimates at varying levels of geography. The age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin estimates at the nation, state, and county level is the final release of the 2021 vintage estimate package.
Insight: New Product: Experimental Age, Sex, Race and Ethnicity Projections for Every State for 2030, with Scenarios
By: Mike Hollingshaus and Emily Harris Jun 22, 2022 – The Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute is happy to release a new experimental product: population projections for every state in 2030. These are available by age, sex, race, and ethnicity. High, middle, and low scenarios are also available. We provide datasets, a user guide, and some useful dynamic visuals for exploration (an example for the Mountain states is pictured below). These projections combine other publicly available datasets using transparent statistical methods, as detailed in the User Guide. […]
Experimental Age, Sex, Race and Ethnicity Projections for Every State for 2030, with Scenarios
The Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute produced new experimental population projections for 2030 by sex, age, race and ethnicity, and state as part of a contract with the Sorenson Impact Center (SIC).