Blog Post

Insight: Utah’s 2020 Fertility Update: How Low Can it Go?

By: Emily Harris

The Gardner Institute is currently in the middle of its own little “baby boom.” With four babies born or expected from January through this coming April, it sure doesn’t feel like fertility is declining. However, the latest report on 2020 fertility trends indicates another year of declining fertility rates. 

The CDC recently released the official 2020 births report, which provides valuable information for geographic comparisons, including updated state-level total fertility rates (TFRs) and age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) for all 50 states, Washington D.C., and the nation.

See our previous fertility factsheet for more in-depth information on fertility rates and their definitions.

Utah’s 2020 TFR is 1.92, much higher than the national 2020 TFR of 1.64. Over the last year, Utah and the U.S.’s TFRs declined by the same amount (by 0.7). I note this seemingly unimportant fact because Utah’s TFR has been falling faster than the U.S. since 2009, and this could signal that Utah’s TFR is beginning to stabilize.

State TFRS, 2010-2020

Source: National Center for Health Statistics

The 2020 numbers indicate that Utah’s TFR now ranks 4th highest in the nation, below South Dakota, North Dakota, and Nebraska. Until 2016, Utah consistently had the highest