Blog Post

Insight: New 2020 Census Bureau Estimates

By Mallory Bateman

Note: The opinions expressed are those of the author alone and do not reflect an institutional position of the Gardner Institute. We hope the opinions shared contribute to the marketplace of ideas and help people as they formulate their own INFORMED DECISIONS™.

On December 22, the Census Bureau Population Division released their 2020 estimates for states and the nation. These estimates indicate that Utah’s population increased from 2,763,885 at the 2010 Census to 3,249,879 on July 1, 2020. Our overall growth rate across this period was the highest of any state at 17.6%.

Growth Rate from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2020

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division

If we assume a linear growth path, we can get an estimate for April 1, 2020 from the new Census Bureau data. This framing provides a population of 3,238,255 in Utah on Census Day. This translates to slower growth (474,370 new Utahns or 17.2% growth) than in the past several decades. Analysis of historical decennial data indicated that both the 1990s and 2000s added more than 500,000 residents each. This growth resulted in a 29.6% growth rate between 1990 and 2000, and 23.8% between 2000 and 2010.

The South (driven mainly by Texas, Florida, and Georgia) and the West were home to the most growth this decade. Nationwide, the population grew by 6.7%, which equates to over 20 million people. Between the 2000 and 2010 decennial censuses, the national growth rate was 9.7%. With an aging populat